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Hasta La Vista, Baby El Niño
This page contains archived content and is no longer being updated. At the time of publication, it represented the best available science. However, more recent observations and studies may have rendered some content obsolete.
The latest image from NASA’s Jason oceanography satellite, taken during a 10-day collection cycle ending April 7, 2003, shows that the warm, high sea level El Niño pool of the past
winter is history. The equatiorial Pacific sea surface temperatures and sea levels have
returned to near-normal conditions. The image shows red areas in the north and south
subtropical Pacific, (10°N(S) to 20°N(S), remnants of the disappearing El Niño, that are
about 10 centimeters (4 inches) above normal; white areas indicate sea surface heights
between 14 and 32 centimeters (6 to 13 inches) above normal. In the western tropical
Pacific, sea levels (red and white areas) are beginning to rise as strong trade winds are
sweeping the warm El Nino waters westward.
Elsewhere, the influence of the 20- to 30-year larger than El Niño/La Niña pattern called the Pacific Decadal Oscillation continues to create warm, higher-than-normal sea-surface
heights in the north Pacific that are connected in a warm horseshoe pattern with the
western and southern Pacific.ÿ
Looking ahead, oceanographers will be carefully monitoring Pacific sea levels to see
whether the tropical Pacific returns to normal or switches to La Nina conditions as it did in
1998, after the huge El Niño of 1997-1998.
Sea-surface heights are a measure of how much heat is stored in the ocean below. This
heat influences both present weather and future planetary climate events.