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|by Michon Scott
3 June 2003
|In late April 2002, a cold front pushed eastward across the midwestern United States. Ahead of the cold front, a powerful thunderstorm formed over Maryland, spawning what was perhaps the states worst tornado. With winds estimated at over 260 miles per hour, the tornado touched down and traveled a path of destruction for 24 miles (39 kilometers), claiming several lives and injuring more than 100 people. The thunderstorm associated with this tornado persisted from the Appalachian Mountains to the Atlantic Ocean, causing an estimated $120 million in damages.|
Tornadoes are just one consequence of thunderstorms. Lightning strikes, flash floods, and downdrafts from collapsing storms all threaten lives and property. One of the best defenses against thunderstorm hazards is effective prediction. Predicting storms accurately, however, requires a thorough understanding of electrical storm life cycles.
In 1997, NASA launched the Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) aboard the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite. The LIS detects and maps the distribution and variability of cloud-to-cloud, intracloud, and cloud-to-ground lightning. Lightning measurements alone dont tell you everything you need to know about thunderstorms, but if you can relate lightning to the severity of the storm, then you have something forecasters can use, said Richard Blakeslee, senior research scientist at NASAs Marshall Space Flight Center. To complicate matters, the instruments in space can only see lightning signals above a certain strength; below that, the pulses are too small to detect. So how much lightning are we missing? Hoping to answer this and other questions, Blakeslee organized the ALTUS Cumulus Electrification Study (ACES).
With a primary goal of validating LIS data, the ACES project examined thunderstorms in the Florida Everglades region over a four-week period in August 2002. Key to the study was the ALTUS II, an uninhabited aerial vehicle capable of flying at high altitudes for long durations. Especially useful to ACES was ALTUS IIs ability to fly at relatively slow speeds, between 70 and 100 knots, or approximately 70 miles (113 kilometers) per hour. The aircrafts slow speed was important because we desired a plane that could observe a thunderstorm continuously, said Blakeslee.
|ASTER captured this image of La Plata, Maryland on May 3, 2002. Several days earlier, the La Plata Tornado carved a 24-mile path through the state. In this image, vegetation appears in red, and bare fields and urban areas appear in green. The turquoise swath across the middle of the image shows the tornados path. Click here for more information.|
The most common thunderstorms consist of multiple storm cells (air masses fed by warm, moist rising air). At its peak, a storm cell receives warm air and produces rain or hail. When the supply of upward-moving warm air stops, the storm cell collapses, and the resulting downdrafts feed new storm cells that repeat the process. While a thunderstorm might persist for hours, individual storm cells generally last from only 10 to 30 minutes. A high-speed plane flies over a storm in about 2 minutes then takes up to 15 minutes to turn around and come back, giving you 2-minute observations separated by 15-minute gaps. And 15 minutes later, youre looking at a different storm cell, said Blakeslee. But ALTUS II could make tight turns, still within measurement range of about 5 kilometers, and come back over the storm repeatedly. Since the plane stayed within measurement range, we didnt miss any of the storms evolution.
Observing a storms development can help forecasters better monitor thunderstorms rapidly changing behavior. Despite the rain or hail they may produce at their peaks, collapsing storm cells sometimes pose the greatest danger. Mature storms produce downdrafts, and while some downdrafts are nothing more than gentle breezes, others are hazardous. If theres a rotation in the storm, a strong downdraft can foster the development of a tornado. Sometimes the cold air in a storm cell descends at a high velocity and spreads out at the ground in whats called a microburst. If a plane flies into a microburst and the pilot reacts incorrectly, he can lose control of the plane. Once microbursts hit the ground, they can be almost as severe as tornadoes, producing straight-line winds that blow roofs off buildings, Blakeslee said.
Another aim of the ACES study was to determine how lightning rates might help predict thunderstorm
hazards. We often see lightning jumps, where the lightning rate increases dramatically then
suddenly decreases, and these jumps often precede severe weather on the ground. If the lightning
measurements can be combined with other measurements, like radar, then we might be able to anticipate
which storms will rapidly intensify and need to be watched very closely, said Blakeslee.
|The image on the left shows a single-cell thunderstorm. Single-cell storms may last 20 to 30 minutes, and are usually not strong enough to cause severe weather. The image on the right is a more typical multicell thunderstorm, which may last for several hours and produce severe weather. (Images courtesy of NOAA/NSSL. A new browser window will open.)|
During the ACES experiment, the aircraft carried electrical, magnetic, and optical sensors to measure lightning activity and the electrical environment around thunderstorms. The ALTUS II was a very effective platform, said Bill Farrell, Blakeslees co-investigator at NASAs Goddard Space Flight Center. Prior to the mission we were concerned the ALTUS would make so much electromagnetic noise that it would interfere with our observations, but it was really quiet. We could detect storms with our instrumentation long before the aircraft reached them.
An overriding concern throughout the ACES experiment was safety. In most airplanes, the pilot is assumed to have see and avoid capability to keep from colliding with other planes, Blakeslee said. Uninhabited aerial vehicles are equipped only with cameras, whose images must be interpreted by someone at a remote location. For this reason, the ACES experiments flight area included only the sparsely populated Florida Everglades and nearby ocean, and the ALTUS II was flown above 40,000 feet to keep it separated from commercial aircraft. Our plane was flown remotely by a pilot in the control center who could respond to the cameras images and aircraft flight data. So it could also be called a remotely piloted vehicle, but we still had to be extra cautious. Throughout the experiment, the researchers took care to fly the plane over and near thunderstorms, but never into them.
In addition to the practical concern of improving severe storm predictions, the ACES study looked at the global electric circuit and the Sun-Earth connection.
Bounded by the Earths surface at the bottom and the ionosphere at the top, the global electric circuit surrounds the Earth in an electric field of up to 100 volts per meter. Scientists have long known that thunderstorms feed this circuit, but the details are still poorly understood. Farrell said, When a thunderstorm is not discharging lightning, it behaves like a battery; when it is discharging lightning, it behaves like a radio antenna. Previous global electric circuit models usually considered only the battery mode, but weve found that for short periods of time anywhere from once per second to once per minute the radiated power actually exceeds the battery-like power. So were trying to figure out how this affects the global electric circuit.
Equally interesting to Farrell is the link between the Sun and the Earth. When a solar event hits
the Earths magnetic field, energy is deposited in Earths ionosphere. But how does the energy
deposited in the ionosphere ultimately reach low altitudes? If we can understand thunderstorms and
radiation going upwards and out, then by reversibility we might have a better understanding of how
things from outside get in.
The ACES experiment designers used this ALTUS II uninhabited aerial vehicle to monitor thunderstorms. (Image courtesy of NSSTC News.)
According to Farrell, part of the Sun-Earth link might take the form of sprites. Sprites are brief flashes of light, sometimes red or blue, that appear directly above thunderstorms and may extend all the way up to the ionosphere. Sprites represent a connection between the ionosphere and the Earths surface, or at least to the level where thunderstorms occur. Its almost like the missing link in the Sun-Earth connection, said Farrell. Sensors in the ACES experiment have enabled the researchers to look for signatures of upward currents and possible effects in the middle atmosphere in daylight. Farrell explained that this study is ongoing.
In this experiment, we were able to detect storms as soon as they formed and immediately fly the aircraft to them, Blakeslee said. Then we could correlate measurements to look at the cause and effect between the storms electrical processes and its overall development. Blakeslee and Farrell are pleased at how the ACES project has demonstrated the utility of uninhabited aerial vehicles in research. Farrell hopes that these planes will be able to fly over places where humans cant safely travel, including extremely dense forest and volcanic plumes.
Blakeslee and Farrell plan to present their findings at the International Conference on Atmospheric Electricity in Versailles, France in June 2003, and data sets resulting from the study are archived at the Global Hydrology Resource Center. The ACES project has been a cornucopia of new data, said Farrell. We have over 4,300 lightning-trigger events to review, and weve already found some surprising results in the first few.
ACES Description Document (adapted from papers given at the AIAA First Technical Conference and Workshop on Unmanned Aerospace Vehicles, Systems, Technologies, and Operations, May 20-23, 2002, Portsmouth, VA; and the Technical Applications and Analysis Center UAV Conference, October 28-30, 2002, Santa Fe, NM).
ACES Executive Summary and Science Plan (PDF file, 3.8 MB). Accessed April 30, 2003.
|Sprites can extend from the tops of clouds to the ionosphere,
an ionized layer 56 miles (90 kilometers) above the Earths surface. This image of red sprite
lightning was taken on November 11, 1995. (Image courtesy of Astronomy Picture of the
Day, D. Sentman, G. Wescott, Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks, NASA. A new
browser window will open.)