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On December 31, 2001, a land dispute in the Mambilla Plateau of
northeastern Nigeria turned violent. The U.N. Office for the Coordination of
Humanitarian Affairs reported that at least 40 people died, and hundreds were
displaced after fighting broke out between local farmers and nomadic herders.
Who was at fault?
According to some analysts, the real culprit was desertification. The conflict arose after a shortage of acceptable pasture pushed desperate herders into farming regions.
French plant ecologist Andre Aubreville popularized the term desertification in a 1949 paper. He wrote that the desert is always present in the embryonic state during the dry and hot season. Sufficient human pressure, Aubreville observed, can transform tropical rainforest into savanna, and savanna into desert. Desertification now threatens more than a billion people worldwide, although its impacts are most severe in Africa. A major impediment to food production, degraded land means roughly $42 billion each year in lost income. Outside the immediately affected areas, it can cause flooding, reduce water quality, create dust storms, and increase incidences of respiratory illness and eye infection.
But as serious as desertification is, its only part of the problem. The phenomenon were concerned with is actually bigger, said Dr. Hank Shugart of the Department of Environmental Sciences at the University of Virginia. Were interested in land systems that can change from something desirable to something undesirable, then stay that way.
Africas fragile ecosystems make the continent especially vulnerable to unwanted environmental changes. Shugart compared Africa to parts of the United States and Europe. In a place with rich soil, if you change the ecosystem and you dont like the result, you can stop, and the system will more or less restore itself. In parts of Africa and Australia, if you change the land and start seeing results you dont like, you might get to look at them for a long time.
Shugart developed an interest in large-scale ecosystems as a graduate student. As a researcher in the Southern African Regional Science Initiative (SAFARI 2000), he studies the big picture by looking at interactions between the Earth, the atmosphere, and people. Shugart suspects that Africa supports two kinds of savanna. One form produces palatable vegetation that the wildlife eats and recycles locally, so the ecosystems nutrients (nitrogen and phosphorus) remain in the system. The other form of savanna produces less palatable vegetation; rather than being consumed by animals, this vegetation accumulates, providing fuel for fires that transport nutrients somewhere else.
If the low-nutrient ecosystems lose their nutrients, and the high-nutrient systems keep theirs, are landscape processes robbing the poor to give to the rich? Shugart asked. If so, this reinforces a serious problem. Once an ecosystem thats easily grazed becomes an ecosystem thats easily burned, it rarely reverts to its previous grazable state. Exactly how ecosystems make this transition is not fully understood, but Shugart cites two lines of evidence that fire-adapted ecosystems exist in places that could support more benign vegetation: (1) previously forested regions have become fire-prone savanna, and (2) high- and low-nutrient communities exist on similar soils and under similar climatic conditions.
Sobering examples of unwanted ecosystem change can be found outside Africa. Introduced plant species have substantially changed ecosystems in North America. Cheatgrass burns like crazy, and its seeds can withstand fire. It isnt good for anything else, so its been kind of a scourge in the western United States, said Shugart.
Livestock grazing has also produced problems. When people first encountered the Chihuahuan Desert in New Mexico, it probably had small shrubs and aridity-tolerant grasses. Once cattle grazed it, everything turned to creosote bush, which sends roots out 50 feet from the plant and sucks up all the nutrients. So now the system is either high-nutrient with a bush growing on it or low-nutrient desert. There are no nutrients between the bushes, so the grasses cant come back even if you stop the livestock grazing.
A variety of natural grazers can keep an ecosystem in balance, but livestock grazing has had far-reaching effects in Africas dry regions. Africa has a beautiful assemblage of antelope, giraffes, and other big animals that eat different kinds of plants, Shugart said. But cattle are preferential grass eaters, so once they start grazing, the vegetation can turn thorny and shrubby. Is that a reversible condition? Wed like to know.
Ecosystems unlikely to recover from human pressures require more cautious management. Making informed land-use decisions for such unforgiving ecosystems means understanding the complicated relationship between environment and vegetation. But such studies usually involve long time periods, making controlled experiments difficult. The trick for Shugart and his fellow SAFARI 2000 researchers was to find natural experiments already in place. They found what they wanted in the Kalahari Transect.
In most places where vegetation changes over hundreds of miles, as in the transition from the eastern forests to the Great Plains in the United States, theres a change in climate, but theres almost always a change in soil as well, Shugart said. The Kalahari has one type of soil top to bottom windblown sand. The rainfall changes in a very regular way. These variables are naturally controlled along this thousand-mile line.
Another controlling factor in the Kalahari Transect is land use. Much of the area Shugart is studying is devoted to farming or game preserves, where the land is essentially unused. Therefore, Shugart can compare the effects of fairly basic differences in land use. Yet studying southern Africa has presented Shugart with an uncommon problem. Ecologists want to see how an ecosystem works naturally, and that usually means without people, he said, but we evolved in southern Africa. The current land use patterns probably didnt evolve there, but theres been a human presence for a few million years. As humans have long known how to start fires, they have augmented naturally occurring fires.
Research conducted so far has already given Shugart valuable insights into land-atmosphere interactions. Shugarts first expedition with SAFARI 2000 started in Zambia and headed south through the Kalahari Transect. Joined by members of the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) land validation team, he sampled vegetation intensively at six sites. Field Data from the Kalahari Transect are available via the ORNL DAACs Mercury system.
The MODIS sensor monitors, among other factors, aerosols and land surface changes on the Earths surface every 24 to 48 hours. For fire emission detection and vegetation mapping, Shugart uses MODIS imagery archived at NASAs Land Processes DAAC. In addition to the standard size of 1,200 by 1,200 kilometers, the Oak Ridge National Laboratory DAAC has prepared 7- by 7-kilometer subsets of MODIS products over field investigation sites in southern Africa. The subsets are used for validating individual MODIS pixel values against measurements made in the field.
MODIS images vary between 500-meter and 1-kilometer resolution, so a single pixel (the smallest visible unit in the image) actually represents a large area. Five hundred square meters can easily contain a mix of grasses, bushes, trees, and bare rock, yet the pixel can only record one type of ground cover. The satellites going to average something out of the picture, Shugart said. So he has supplemented MODIS data with higher-resolution images and modeling techniques.
The SAFARI 2000 project obtained AirMISR imagery by flying the sensor on an ER-2 aircraft over southern Africa during the study period. AirMISR data is archived at Langley Research Center (LaRC). For historical data, Shugart relies on newly declassified 2-meter resolution images taken by the CORONA spy satellite between 1962 and 1972, now archived by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Were trying to make comparisons between satellite imagery, aerial photos, and ground-truth data, said Shugart.
Shugart has also worked toward a model-based understanding of Kalahari vegetation. A dozen bushes might display as the same shade of green in a satellite image, regardless of their spatial distribution. Yet those bushes may behave in very different ways depending on whether theyre clumped together or separated by several meters. For this reason, SAFARI 2000 researchers have begun making detailed models, known as stem maps, of fine-scale variations. Refining these stem maps will be an ongoing process for Shugart and his team.
As the study progresses, Shugart will examine fire models, burn scar models, and emissions models to better understand what nutrients are lost to the atmosphere across Africa. He is also involved in producing a special journal issue of Global Change Biology devoted to SAFARI 2000 research.
Its easy to get isolated if youre a working scientist in Africa, Shugart said. Africa doesnt have a huge number of scientists yet, and the ones doing research are under a lot of pressure because theyre in the middle of the problem. SAFARI 2000 has been a remarkable project in that its arisen through grassroots coordination among scientists. By working together, weve been able to pool our resources and share information very quickly. It has been very refreshing.
U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. Accessed March 21, 2002.
United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification. Accessed March 21, 2002.
Desertification: Myths and Realities. IDRC Briefings. Accessed March 31, 2002.
Desertification: A Review of the Concept. Center for International Earth Science Information at Columbia University (CIESIN). Accessed March 21, 2002.
SAFARI 2000. Accessed March 21, 2002.