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December
11, 2006 The study provides a
holistic
view of the deforestation issue. “This is the first
comprehensive assessment of
the deforestation problem,” said Govindasamy Bala, lead
author of the research
that will be presented on December 15 at the American Geophysical
Society
annual meeting in The models
calculated the
carbon/climate interactions and took into account the physical climate
effect
and the partitioning of the carbon dioxide release from deforestation
among
land, atmosphere and ocean. Forests affect
climate in three
different ways: they absorb the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide from the
atmosphere and help to keep the planet cool; they evaporate water to
the
atmosphere and increase cloudiness, which also helps keep the planet
cool; and
they are dark and absorb a lot of sunlight, warming the Earth. Climate
change
mitigation strategies that promote planting trees have taken only the
first
effect into account. “Our study
shows that tropical
forests are very beneficial to the climate because they take up carbon
and
increase cloudiness, which in turn helps cool the planet,”
Bala said. But the study
concludes that by
the year 2100, forests in mid and high latitudes will make some places
up to 10
degrees Fahrenheit warmer than would have occurred if the forests did
not
exist. “The
darkening of the surface by
new forest canopies in the high latitude Boreal regions allows
absorption of
more sunlight that helps to warm the surface. In fact, planting more
trees in
high latitudes could be counterproductive from a climate
perspective,” Bala
said. The study finds
little or no
climate benefit when trees are planted in temperate regions. “Our
integrated systems approach
allowed us for the first time to estimate the total effects of land
cover
change in different regions of the world,” Bala said. Afforestation has
been promoted
heavily in mid-latitudes as a means of mitigating climate change.
However, the
combined carbon/climate modeling study shows that it doesn't work. The
albedo
effect (the process by which less sunlight is reflected and more is
absorbed by
forest canopies, heating the surface) cancels out the positive effects
from the
trees taking in carbon. “Our study
shows that preserving
and restoring forests is likely to be climatically ineffective as an
approach
to slow global warming,” said Ken Caldeira, a co-author of
the study from the
Carnegie Institution. “To prevent climate change, we need to
transform our
energy system. It is only by transforming our energy system and
preserving
natural habitat, such as forests, that we can maintain a healthy
environment.
To prevent climate change, we must focus on effective strategies and
not just
‘feel-good’ strategies.” Founded in 1952,
Lawrence
Livermore National Laboratory has a mission to ensure national security
and
apply science and technology to the important issues of our time.
Lawrence
Livermore National Laboratory is managed by the
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